Without any further delay, lets get to our WM Phoenix Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. Who are you taking? Full Leaderboard . I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. Given that he also has a win and a T2 in his past three starts here, I think he asserts himself on the leaderboard this week. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. WMPO: Sungjae Im. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Be that as it may, the putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts. An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Fax: (541) 454-2753. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. That set up is not especially conducive to betting longshots, however there are still high upside sleepers in this field worth consideration for placement bets and your DFS lineups. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. No, he is not a tout. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. Skip to navigation. At the British Open, four of Holliman's picks finished in the top eight, including Dustin Johnson (35-1) and Tommy Fleetwood (35-1). As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brands e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 Web2023 Honda Classic first-round leader odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for opening round from a golf expert. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Genesis: Justin Thomas. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. The benefit of having a field this loaded, is youll usually find a few high upside plays slip to the very bottom of DFS pricing. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Honda: Chris Kirk. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-sleeper-picks-tommy-fleetwood/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, PGA Tour approves radical schedule changes, reducing fields in elevated events and ending cuts, Drivers used by PGA Tour pros ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Skip to main content. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. Shipping on most Impact Label products One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. At last weeks WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Now its Rorys turn. We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. Genesis: Justin Thomas. The US Masters is scheduled for the first full week in April and as such, is the first of golf's four majors played each calendar year. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential WM Phoenix Open Longshot Picks Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 7, 2023 The greatest party in golf is Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Tommy Fleetwood of England looks on from the fourth hole during the second round of the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale on February 10, 2023 in Scottsdale, Arizona. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. Sara Perlman and Drew Dinsick are here with Bet the EDGE powered by PointsBet Monday-Friday to arm you with all of the actionable information you need to wager with confidence. Keith Mitchell has grabbed two top fives in his last three starts. The Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. ESPN+. Touts are lame. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. by Mastercard. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Gilliam County. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. Skip to main content. Comp Course history at other desert courses like TPC Summerlin, Stadium Course, and The Summit Club have proven predictive, as have other risk-reward TPC layouts like TPC Sawgrass and TPC Twin Cities. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. Houston Open: Jason Day. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Here are your options. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in! Scheffler won last year at 5 under, beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one stroke. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. The winner hasnt been better than 12 under in any of the past four years, with two single-digit under par victors. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. Last weeks champion and new World No. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. Since a second-place finish at the Farmers Insurance Open, Keegan Bradley has tied for 20th at the WM Phoenix Open and missed the weekend at Riviera thanks to an opening-round 75. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. 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